Chapter 5. revision.

Government economic policy objectives and indicators of national economic performance.

Definitions:

Economic growth: in the short run, an increase in real GDP, and in the long run an increase in productive capacity, that is the maximum output that the economy can produce.
Unemployment: a situation where people are out of work but are willing and able to work.
Labour force: the people who are employed and unemployed ,that is ,those who are economically active.
Economically inactive: people of working age who are neither employed nor unemployed.Elastic: responsive to a change in market conditions.

Inflation rate: the percentage increase in the price level over a period of time.
Objectives of government economic policy.
Governments have always had general policy objectives for the macroeconomy but in recent years many have set more specific targets.
Economic growth.
Governments want to achieve economic growth because of the benefits it brings, including increasing material living standarts.
Definitions:
Sustainable economic growth: economic growth that can continue over tome and does not endanger future generations’ ability to expand productive capacity.
Trend growth: the expected increase in potential output over time. It is a measure of how fast the economy can grow without generating inflation.
Employment and unemployment.
Another government policy objective is high employment and low unemployment. Some governments state that their objective is full employment.
Definition:
Full employment: a situation where those wanting and able to work can find employment at the going wage rate.
Inflation.
A third macroeconomic policy objective is low and stable inflation.
Balance of payments.
In the past,governments placed considerable emphasis on achieving a satisfactory balance of payments position, particularly with respect to trade in goods and services.
Definition:
Current account deficit: when more money is leaving the country than entering it, as result of sales of its exports, income and current transfers from abroad being less than imports and income current transfers going abroad.
Economic stability.
While a satisfactory balance of payments position has been somewhat downgraded as an objective, economic stability has become more significant as an objective.The benefits of economic growth.
Although there can be costs of economic growth, most governments believe thet the benefits of economic growth outweigh the costs. This is why economic growth is a key macroeconomic objective.
The sustainability of economic growth.
One of the crucial factors that has to be taken into account in deciding whether economic growth is beneficial or not is whether it is sustainable.
Determination of exchange rates.
An exchange rate is the price of one currency in terms of another currencies. the bank of England Monetary Policy Committee’s main indicator of the pound’s value is the Bank’s trade-weighted index.
A number of factors influence the demand for and supply of a currency and so its exchange rate.
1) Demand for pounds is likely to be high and supply is likely to be low if UK products are internationally competitive.
2) Changes in income abroad influence the exchange rate.
3) Rising incomes at home may put downward pressure on the value of the pound.
4) A rise in UK interest rates, relative to other countries’ interest rates, will be likely to increase demand for pounds.
5) Pounds are also bought and sold by those wishing to undertake foreign direct investment(FDI).
6) Speculation is now an important influence on the exchange rate.
Definitions:
International monetary fund(IMF): an international organization that helps co-ordinate the international monetary system.
World trade organization(WTO): an international organization that promotes free international trade and rules on international trade disputes.
Exchange rate: the price of one currency in terms of another currencies.
Monetary policy committee(MPC): a committee of the Bank of England with responsibility for setting the interest rate in order to meet the government’s inflation target.
The relationship between the exchange rate and the interest rate.
Changes in the exchange rate and interest rate are closely linked. If for instance, the UK’s exchange rate rises, exports prices expressed in terms of foreign currencies will rise.
The effect of a change in exchange rate on export and import prices.
A fall in the exchange rate, called a depreciation if caused by market forces, will reduce the price of exports in terms of foreign currencies.
Changes in the exchange rate and the macroeconomy.
A reduction in the exchange rate is likely to improve the current account position of the balance of payments. A fall in the price of exports will result in a rise in export revenue if demand is elastic. A rise in import prices will reduce the expenditure on imports, again if demand is elastic.The causes of unemployment.
Cyclical unemployment: unemployment arising from a lack of demand.
Structural unemployment: unemployment caused by the decline of certain industries and occupations due to changes in demand and supply.
Frictional unemployment: short term unemployment occurring when workers are in-between jobs.
The causes of inflation:
Cost push: increases in the price level caused by increases in the costs of production.
Demand pull: increases in the price level caused by increases in aggregate demand.

Chapter 4. revision.

Chapter 4. revision.

Aggregate Demand and Aggregate supply.

Aggregate demand: The total demand for a country's goods and services at a given price level and in a given time period

Rule for AD= C+I+G+(x-m)

Definitions:

Consumer expenditure: spending by households on consumer products.

Investment: spending on capital goods.

Government spending: spending by the central government and local government on goods and services.

Exports: products sold abroad.

Imports: products bought from abroad.

Net-exports - the value of exports minus the value of imports.

Trade surplus: the value of exports exceeding the value of imports.

Trade deficit: the value of imports exceeding the value of exports.

Definitions:

Inflation: a sustained rise in the price level

Average propensity to consume:the proportion of disposable income spent. in is consumption divided by disposable income.

net savers:people who save more than they borrow.

Wealth: a stock of assets.(property,shares,money held in savings account)

SAVINGS.
Influences on savings include:

1)real disposable income:average propensity to save rises.

2)the rate of interest:rise in it increases the reward for saving and so usually encourages people to save more.

3)confidence and expectations:people and firms are usually tend to save more,if they are not confident about their future.

4)saving schemes:when people agree to save a certain amount on a regular basis in insurance and pension schemes.

5)Government policies:a decision by the government to introduce tax-free saving schemes will encourage people to save more.

6)the age of a people: young people tend to spend more and the middle-age group of people usually save more than they spend.

Definitions:
dissave: spending more than disposable income
Savings ratio: savings as a proportion of disposable income


INVESTMENT

influences on investment include:
1)changes in real disposable income:if real disposable income increases,it is mean that demand for goods and services will also rise.

2)expectations:firms more likely to invest,if they are confident about their economic future.

3)capacity utilisation:firms are also tend to invest more if they are operating near to full capacity.

4)current profit levels:high profit levels can encourage investment in two ways:they provide finance to invest and they are likely to contribute to firms' optimism about the future.

5)corporation tax: if there is a cut in tax,firms will have more money,therefore more investment.

6)the rate of interest:a rise in interst rate likely will decrease the investment.lower demand for shares will reduce their price level and so decrease the funds that firms can raise for investment.

7)advanced technology:firms can invest money in machinery,in purpose to incsease the profit or quality of the products.

8)price of capital equipment:a reduction in capital equipment may also rise investment.

Government spending.

Definition: Spending by the central bank and local government on goods and service.

Government spending decision are influenced by a number of factors.

1)the government's view on the extent of market failure and its ability to correct it.

2)the level of economic activity in the economy can influence government spending.

3)a desire to please the electorate. voters can put pressure on the government to spend money improving education, health care and transport infrastructure.

4)war, terrorist attacks and rising crime or their threat can also increase government spending.Definitions:

GDP definitions

Real GDP: GDP after inflation

Gross domestic product(GDP): the total output of goods and services prodused in a country.

exchange rate:the price of one currency in terms of another currency.

Government bond: a financial asset issued by the central or local government as a means of borroing money.

Aggregate supply.

Aggregate supply the total amount that producers in an economy are willing and able to supply at a given price level in a given time period.

Definitions:
Productivity: output,or production, of a good or service per worker per unit of a factor of production in a given time period.

Macroeconomic equlibrium: a situation where aggregate demand equals aggregate supply and real GDP is not changing.

Privatisation: transfer of assets from the publuc sector to the private sector.

Macroeconomic equlibrium.
if AD would be more than AS, there would be a shortage of goods and services.
The excess AD would encourage them to expand their output. The surplus AD may also push up the price level, depending on the leve of capacity.
AS exceeding AD would also lead to pressures that would move the economy back to eqilibrium.

Circular flow of income:the movement of spending and income throughout the economy.

Factor services:the services provided by the factors of production.

Leakages:withdrawals of possible spending from the circular flow of income.

Injections:additions of extra spending into the circcular flow of income.

Multiplier effect: when adding injections into the economy results in the greater rise in national income.

Obesity, Market Failure and Government Intervention.

Obesity

Obesity is accumulation of fat in the body that increases very fast. There are some methods which we can use to measure obesity. One of them is the Body Mass Index (BMI). It is calculated as your weight (kg) divided by your height (metres). Recent establishments show that people of average weight are considered to have a BMI between 18.5 and 25. People who have a BMI of over 30 are con

sidered obese.

Here is some interesting fats about obesity in the UK.

- 70% of men and 63% of women in the UK are overweight or obese.

- Obesity accounts for 30000 deaths a year in the UK.

- Obesity is estimated to cost the British economy over £2bn every year.

- One in five children in Britain eats no fruit at all.

Causation

1) Changing life styles. Some people don't have enough spare time to cook, so they have to buy something in supermarkets or take-away food. Especially workers, who have just one our for linch is likely to use fast food, which is, probably, could cause obesity.

2) The falling real cost of processed foods because of economies of scale. Fast food is always cheaper than fresh food, because companies who sell fast food are operating on the level of economies of scale (large size)

3) Calories.

4) A rise in relative poverty.

5) Bigger portions.

Obama harbours fear of 'double-dip recession.

Today at the press conference The Barack Obama has warned that the US economy could head into a “double-dip recession” unless urgent steps were taken to rein back America’s mounting levels of public debt. The problem is that the unemployment in USA rise to 10.2 per cent, the President said his administration faced a delicate balance of trying to boost the economy and spur job creation while bringing the rising deficit and debt under control.

Trade deficit balloons on car and oil imports.

Britain’s goods trade deficit with the rest of the world rise much more than expected in September to the biggest gap since January, hit by Britain's "cash for bangers" scrappage scheme which has driven a surge in car imports. The Office of National Statistics said today that Britain’s goods rise to £7.2 billion pounds in September from £6.1 billion in August, well above analysts’ expectations for the deficit to remain at £6.1 billion. Today's dire figures emerge ahead of key employment data tomorrow and after official estimates for third quarter gross domestic product (GDP) last month showed that Britain was still in recession. The trade deficit had been narrowing in recent months as economists and policymakers speculated that the weakness of the pound was boosting British exports and helping to rebalance the economy.

Car sales rise by 31.6% on scrappage scheme.

The biggest monthly increase was in October, when sales jumped by 31.6 per cent. Some 168,942 new cars were registered last month, up from 128,352 the year before, as sales of vehicles to private buyers increased by 86 per cent to 89,532, according to The Society of Motor Manufacturers (SMMT). Unfortunately sales of fleet cars decreased by 2 per cent to 74,445 because company cars are rarely old enough to qualify for the Government scrappage scheme, where owners of vehicles that are more than ten years old receive a £2,000 discount on a new model by trading in their old one.

House prices record first rise in 19 months.

The prices in Britain for houses are higher than they were a year ago, in the first annual house price rise for 19 months. New figures from Nationwide show that during October, house prices rose by 2 per cent compared to the same month last year, signalling the first annual rise since March 2008. However, the monthly pace of growth is slowing, with house prices rising by 0.4 per cent in October, compared to 0.9 per cent in September and 1.4 per cent in August. Prices have been slowly rising on a monthly basis since May. Nationwide said that this could be due to more sellers returning to the market, creating more competition

Smoothies and cola

1)Because smoothies contains balance vegetables and makes a balance diet and also it's healthier then other soft drinks.

2)Demand for smoothies would be more than cola because firms would make advertisement

which telling that smoothies are healthy and better for people to by smoothies rather killing

them selfs by drinking cola.

3)One result was that sales of cola and other soft drinks were affected,with people switching

to smoothies.

Surprise fall in youth unemployment dismissed as the ‘lull before the storm.

The rise of unemployment in UK get slowdown and in the three months to August as the number of young people out of work fell, official figures showed yesterday. Unemployment rise 88,000 to 2.47 million, but now situation is that the number of young people out of work fell to 946,000 — 1,000 fewer than the record high set in the three months to July. The number of people signing up for jobless benefits climbed at the slowest way in 16 months in September, rising by 20,800 to 1.62 million. Among 18 to 24-year-old, the figure increased by nearly 8,000 to 490,000.

However the statistics little bit surprised economists who who was thinking that unemployment will rise above 2.5 million and youth joblessness to climb to 1 million as tens of thousands of school and college leavers struggled to find jobs.

Insurer Zurich to cut workforce

Zurich is consulting with unions on plans to cut staff numbers by about 10% by the end of the year. The business employs 5,400 staff in 20 locations all around the country but it is unclear which offices will be affected. The news comes on the same day as rival Aviva, owner of Norwich Insurance, said it would cut 1,800 jobs by 2010. 'Acting swiftly' Zurich said the "decisive" restructuring would improve customer focus and help to achieve more "sustainable" growth in profits. And it said that between 700 and 900 posts were likely to be lost. But the business, which provides general cover for companies and individuals, operates from 20 sites, the largest being in Birmingham and Whiteley, Hampshire. "However, it is clear that if we want to remain competitive, we must act swiftly to increase efficiencies so that we can achieve our growth plans and safeguard the future of our business in the UK."

Stamp prices may rise next year

Stamp prices may rise again in April next year. Regulator Postcomm predicted prices for first-class stamps would rise by 3 p. to 42p. per stamp and prices for second-class stamps would rise by 2p. to 32p. per stamp. He also added that Royal Mail needed extra funding to compensate a decline in mail volumes. Regulator sad that even after rising in prices for stamps Royal Mail would still lose their money.
Stamp prices were last increased in April this year. Royal Mail has another problem. There are a lot of strikes (workers don’t want to work). This is caused by reduction in worker’s places and wages. The result of a ballot by the Communication Workers Union (CWU) calling for a nationwide strike by postal workers will be announced on either 8 or 9 October. While the CWU is demanding that Royal Mail signs an agreement with it to determine the exact scope of job cuts, Royal Mail counters that an earlier deal with the union in 2007 had already sanctioned all necessary future redundancies. The most recent figures show that the Royal Mail's letters and packages unit made an annual profit of £58m in 2008 from a turnover of £6.7bn. Royal Mail counters that this is a very small profit considering the size of the turnover, and staff cuts are required to prevent it returning to losses in the future

Answers:
a) The price elasticity of demand shows how demand responses to changes in price.
b) I’m not quite sure about changes in quantity demanded, because there is no information about demand for stamps in the chapter. I guess, that demand for stamps would not change a lot with rising in price for stamps, because there are not a lot of substitutes of using Royall Mail ( you have to buy stamps for using Royall Mail). So, I guess that the PED would be a number between 0 and 1, because % changes in price for first-class stamps is near 0,07 and % changes in price for second-class stamps is near 0,06. As I sad before changes in quantity demanded of first-class and second-class stamps would equal not a lot. That’s why PED would be between 0 and 1.
c) The number PED between 0 and 1 says us that demand for stamps is inelastic.

d) As I sad, there are not a lot of substitutes of using Royall Mail, that's why demand is inelastic. Also the amount, that person can spend on the stamps. The prices of stamps are not big so customers can buy it.

e) Because the demand for stamps is inelastic, Royall Mail wouldn't have a problems with consumption if the prices will go up. In my opinion, Royall Mail has problems with fundings because of another case (not connected with consumption).It can be a lot of spending or irrational spending.

f) 'Ceteris paribus' means all other things being equal or held constant.

Drinking

A)The amount of alcohol consumed per person has risen by 10% since 2000 - despite drink sales remaining steady. But researchers Mintel said wines and lagers were becoming stronger unfortunately people didn't see the changes. It shows that at list third men and fifth women drink more alcohol a day then it is recommended Because the limit for alcohol three or four units a day.Consumers have limited information to help them make healthy choices about their alcohol consumption.

Don Shenker, of Alcohol Concern Mintel carried out its own surveys as well as using data from a range of sources including the NHS and sales information from shops, bars and pubs to compile its report. Binge drinking among the young is often blamed for growing alcohol consumption, but the Mintel research showed those drinking at home were the group which saw the greatest rise. Moreover, in a sign that binge drinking may be becoming less socially acceptable, 22% fewer 18-24-year-olds agreed with the statement, "the point of drinking is to get drunk" than did five years ago, the report added.

B)http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/8223294.stm

1) information failure - is a lack of information resulting in consumers and producers making decisions that do not maximize welfare. Just in simple examples (in the article) we can see that in some cases customers can consume more in situation where information failure exists.

2)

3) Yes, "stealth" drinking is an example of information failure. Because people really don't know about volume of alcohol and also about harmful of drinking. "Consumers have limited information to help them make healthy choices about their alcohol consumption" - sad Don Shenker, of Alcohol Concern.

4) In theory, the government should provide information to show all harmful of alcohol to people and the, probably, people will consume less (average consumption will decrease).

5) people don't know about volume of alcohol and people are not aware of harmful of alcohol.

The economy of China

The economy of China are good developed. Nowadays China is world wide exports China provides almost every thing in world starting from silk and clothes and end with cars trains, all countries buy goods from china i think because it is very cheap.I think that china is very good developed because chinese people is all around the world and they study worldwide for example they study in UK and they get good educated and their future generation will do everything to make the chinese economy stay the same or they will make the economy grow.

Demand and supply

(a) A rise in the cost of refining petrol (H)

(b) A fall in bus and train fares (B)

(c) A fall in the price of crude oil and an increase in the priceof cars(E)

(d) A rise in tax on petrol and a reduction in tax on cars(A)

Pound up as fears of Bank rate change ease

Sterling rallied sharply on foreign exchange markets yesterday as the Bank of England emphasised that it had no immediate plans to change the rate that it pays to commercial banks on sums deposited with it overnight. However, economists attending a “teach-in” at the Bank yesterday were said to have received indications that no such move was imminent, with officials suggesting the Bank was “some way” from deciding on any change. Sterling, which had traded as low as $1.5768 on Monday, rallied as high as $1.5989 once the comments began to circulate in the market. Yields on two-year gilts also rose by 14 basis points at one stage, one of the biggest one-day moves this year.

Bank defends Mervyn King.

MERVYN KING is not trying to talk down the pound, say Bank of England sources, who insist that the currency markets have misinterpreted the governor’s comments. The pound dropped below €1.09 and $1.60 on Friday, its lowest for nearly six months and four months respectively. Traders accused the Bank of trying to talk down the pound deliberately. It countered that the bulletin comment was an attempt to explain the fall in sterling that had already occurred since 2007, and was not a suggestion that it should fall further. Similarly, King’s comment was to a Newcastle newspaper that is running a campaign to boost local exports. The fall already recorded would be “helpful” in that effort, he said.

Multiple choices.

163-a 170-c 177-b 184-d

164-b 171-a 178-d 185-b

165-b 172-c 179-d 186-d

166-a 173-b 180-c

167-a 174-c 181-c

168-b 175-d 182-b

169-b 176-c 183-a

187-b 193-c 199-c 205-c

188-b 194-b 200-d 206-b

189-b 195-c 201-b 207-d

190-a 196-a 202-c

191-a 197-a 203-d

192-b 198-a 204-a

MPC member says cheap finance is gone for good

The member and leader of the Bank of England's interest rate setting committee said that finance never can be good as it was before the credit crunch and identified bank lending as the chief obstacle to Britain's economic recovery. And in the end he add"I think most people are starting to realise that finance is never going to be quite as cheaply available as it was in the years prior to the crash. Businesses are becoming more realistic about what they can get."

IMF leader warns of war in poor countries

The head of the International Monetary Fund warned today that the unemployment was caused by global financial crisis. And greater poverty and prolonged civil unrest and wars among poor nations can happen.But in the end of his speech he add that we almost see the light at the end of tunnel and even if crisis is not finished yet,we hope that crisis will stop in 2010.